Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 13.385359 15.345068 17.439503 19.838529 22.504282 25.369339 28.675162
2025-07-27 10.653177 13.293776 16.310065 19.987523 24.325655 29.255342 35.254511
2025-08-03 8.660988 11.556646 15.040269 19.494174 24.987364 31.488347 39.706682
2025-08-10 7.273322 10.287517 14.079073 19.125049 25.582435 33.481953 43.778690
2025-08-17 6.186716 9.232298 13.221926 18.725574 26.001543 35.162599 47.421860
2025-08-24 5.330839 8.365272 12.492966 18.377298 26.388445 36.737709 50.912207
2025-08-31 4.556303 7.511789 11.682247 17.817974 26.407090 37.773341 53.679575
2025-09-07 4.100799 7.064298 11.383407 17.914544 27.278599 39.926928 57.952024
2025-09-14 3.688249 6.631728 11.057912 17.928837 28.005682 41.880922 61.991857
2025-09-21 3.375878 6.319260 10.876114 18.122895 28.972814 44.174586 66.545697
2025-09-28 3.055427 5.956808 10.581788 18.115392 29.626161 46.029726 70.527643
2025-10-05 2.870858 5.801602 10.594528 18.565816 30.959987 48.880179 75.979931
2025-10-12 2.672989 5.606806 10.532972 18.901670 32.145961 51.576338 81.329768
2025-10-19 2.457800 5.357512 10.359714 19.042600 33.030893 53.853808 86.138630
2025-10-26 2.160934 4.922253 9.833987 18.568621 32.921966 54.635130 88.763708
2025-11-02 1.917674 4.560034 9.401826 18.214076 32.970209 55.634294 91.717197
2025-11-09 1.697744 4.216890 8.972718 17.830435 32.940617 56.496154 94.469401
2025-11-16 1.508955 3.913887 8.589552 17.496010 32.964517 57.425491 97.331418
2025-11-23 1.316262 3.577020 8.112371 16.959026 32.614982 57.742571 99.244507
2025-11-30 1.215967 3.431743 7.990284 17.051731 33.327443 59.755824 103.828546
2025-12-07 1.116340 3.275265 7.832364 17.065452 33.898081 61.550327 108.107269
2025-12-14 1.042684 3.170881 7.770139 17.251754 34.771404 63.854499 113.241616
2025-12-21 0.957170 3.026307 7.612692 17.244551 35.297378 65.597758 117.517259